气候变化对5种植物分布的潜在影响
气候变化对5种植物分布的潜在影响
基金项目:
国家“十一五”科技支撑专题(2007BAC03A02-06) ；中国环境科学研究院公益性院所基金项目（2007KYYW05）
Potential Effects of Climate Change on the Distributions of 5 Plants in China
摘要 | | 访问统计 | | | 引证文献 || 文章评论摘要:
利用CART(分类和回归树Classification and regression tree)模型，采用A2和B2气候情景，模拟分析了气候变化对观光木(Tsoongiodendron odorum)、鹅掌楸(Liriodendron chinense)、独叶草( Kingdonia uniflora)、草苁蓉(Boschniakia rossica)和刺五加(Acanthopanax senticosus)分布范围及空间格局的影响。结果表明：与目前适宜分布范围相比，气候发生变化后，观光木的分布范围变化不大，其它植物则缩小；观光木的新适宜与总适宜分布范围扩大，而其它植物缩小；草丛蓉和刺五加的目前适宜、新适宜及总适宜分布范围缩小幅度较大，鹅掌楸和独叶草次之；观光木和鹅掌楸向目前适宜分布区北部区域扩展，独叶草向西南区域扩展，草丛蓉和刺五加的适宜范围在2081~2100年会散失。气候变化下，这些植物的适宜分布范围随年降水量和年均气温的变化不一致，观光木的目前适宜、独叶草的新适宜及总适宜分布范围与年降水量和年均气温，以及草苁蓉的分布范围与降水量的相关性不显著(P>0.05)。这些植物的空间分布格局将随气候变化而发生变化。
Abstract:
The effects of climate change on distributions of 5 species, such as Tsoongiodendron odorum, Liriodendron chinese, Kingdonia uniflora, Boschniakia rossica and Acanthopanax senticosus in China were analyzed using CART (classification and regression tree) model and climate change scenarios of A2 and B2. The results showed that the current distributions of these plants except of T. odorum would decrease under climate change, and the new or total distribution region of T. odorum would increase, while those of other plants decrease. And the reducetions of the current, new or total distribution region of B. rossica and A. senticosus are the highest, then were L. chinese and K. uniflora. T. odorum and L. chinese would distribute towards north of current distribution regions, while K. uniflora towards southwest, and B. rossica and A. senticosus would dissipate at the period of 2081~2100. Moreover, the changes in distribution of these plants inconsistent with those in annual mean temperature and annual precipitation. There were no significant relation (P>0.05) between the annual mean air temperature, precipitation in China and current distribution of T. odorum, also with new or total distribution region of K. uniflora, and did not between the distribution of B. rossica and annual precipitation in China (P>0.05). It indicated that the spatial distribution pattern of these species would change with climate changes.
引用本文吴建国.气候变化对5种植物分布的潜在影响[J].热带亚热带植物学报,2010,18(5):511~522
复制
分享 文章指标 点击次数:3630 下载次数: 2167 HTML阅读次数: 0 历史 收稿日期:2009-10-12 最后修改日期:2010-06-09 录用日期:2010-06-12 在线发布日期: 2010-09-29 文章二维码
相关知识
气候变化对我国7种植物潜在分布的影响
气候变化对7种保护植物分布的潜在影响
气候变化对油松潜在地理分布时空格局的影响
气候变化对外来入侵植物互花米草潜在分布区的影响
未来气候变化对金花茶分布格局的影响
气候变化对我国主要珍稀濒危物种分布影响及其适应对策研究
互花米草(Spartina alterniflora)在中国沿海的潜在分布及其对气候变化的响应
气候变化对灯盏花(Erigeron breviscapus)在中国潜在适生区的影响
气候变化对国际贸易的潜在冲击和影响
末次盛冰期以来气候变化对中国山荆子分布格局的影响
网址: 气候变化对5种植物分布的潜在影响 https://m.huajiangbk.com/newsview487070.html
| 上一篇: 气候对园林植物生长的影响 |
下一篇: 浅析城市园林植物病虫害发生现状和 |
